Amazon Increases Investment in AI

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On February 7th, Amazon released its financial report for the fourth quarter of 2024, revealing significant results yet leading to a disappointing plunge in its stock price by over 4% in after-hours trading. While the company posted strong earnings, analysts were less than impressed with its future outlook, suggesting a potential decrease in growth momentum.

The quarterly report indicated a 10% increase in net sales, reaching a staggering $187.8 billion. The net profit saw a remarkable surge, topping $20 billion, which marked an 88.7% increase compared to the $10.6 billion profit of the same quarter in 2023. However, the forecasts for the first quarter of 2025 suggested that net sales would be between $151 billion and $155.5 billion—a rise of just 5% to 9% from 2024's figures, falling short of analysts' expectations of $158.5 billion.

A major contributor to Amazon's success remained its cloud computing division, AWS, achieving net sales of $28.8 billion and a year-on-year growth rate of 19%, improving on the previous year's growth rate of 13%. Andy Jassy, Amazon's President and CEO, highlighted the company's hefty investments in artificial intelligence, detailing innovations such as the Trainium2 AI chip, the foundational model termed Amazon Nova, and numerous new models and features within Amazon Bedrock. He emphasized that while the full benefits of these AI tools may take months to manifest for customers, they represent substantial advances in a rapidly evolving technological landscape.

Similar to various tech giants, Amazon is ramping up its investments in infrastructure to accommodate the burgeoning demand for AI technologies and cloud services. The capital expenditure for the fourth quarter reached $26.3 billion, with expectations for 2025 to see expenditures soar to $100 billion, predominantly directed towards enhancing technological infrastructure supportive of AWS. Jassy reiterated the company’s commitment to expanding its tech infrastructure, which includes supporting AI services as well as the technological needs of Amazon’s North American and international divisions. Additionally, investments in the transportation network continue, aimed at fostering business growth, accelerating delivery times, and lowering overall service costs.

During the earnings call, the discussion shifted towards strategies to reduce costs associated with artificial intelligence. Jassy expressed admiration for the achievements of DeepSeek, particularly in training techniques and the progressive alteration of reinforcement learning protocols, eliminating the necessity for human input in its early stages. He noted that this could usher in reduced inference costs, benefiting the broader tech industry.

The fourth quarter, traditionally a fruitful season for sales due to events like Prime Day and Black Friday, proved to be Amazon's most successful holiday shopping period to date, according to Jassy's comments on the earnings call.

Amid a competitive e-commerce market, price sensitivity has taken center stage, with consumers gravitating towards lower-cost goods. In response, Amazon plans to enhance its offerings in everyday product categories. Jassy noted, “As consumers exercise caution in their spending, our strategy of lowering prices and expediting delivery resonates well with customers.” In fact, the number of products delivered the same day or the next day to U.S. Prime members surged by over 65% in comparison to the previous year's fourth quarter.

Also noteworthy is Amazon's commitment to trimming service costs. Over the past year, the company made hundreds of adjustments to its U.S. site network and opened over 15 inbound buildings. Despite being in the relatively early stages of restructuring, Amazon successfully enhanced its inventory distribution across fulfillment centers by 25%, better facilitating quicker sorting and shipping processes. These strategic changes are expected to refine inventory layouts, minimize delivery times, lower shipping costs, and increase shipment volumes per box.

However, Amazon continues to navigate through regulatory challenges and fierce market competition. Last April, the UK's Competition and Markets Authority initiated a review of investments made by Microsoft and Amazon in artificial intelligence firms, citing concerns that these partnerships could give major tech companies undue control over potential competitors, thus stifling competition.

Furthermore, Amazon faces an antitrust lawsuit from online apparel retailer Zulily. The lawsuit accuses Amazon of penalizing third-party sellers who offered lower prices on competing platforms, effectively maintaining an illegal monopoly within the e-commerce domain.

In terms of competitive pressures, Amazon is also up against the likes of Temu and SHEIN, which utilize direct supply chains from factories and industry hubs to offer low-cost products. A recent Probolsky Research report pointed out that Temu outperformed Amazon in a price war aimed at U.S. consumers, with 76% of those surveyed deeming Temu cheaper than Amazon. Nonetheless, 81% of respondents acknowledged that Amazon's delivery speed remains unmatched.

Recognizing the sense of urgency in the current market landscape, Amazon has been implementing a myriad of strategies over the past year, including reducing commission fees and promoting the 'Amazon Haul' value deals.

The ongoing battle for merchants has become pivotal in the realm of cross-border e-commerce. Recently, Amazon Global Selling announced its strategic focus for 2025, encompassing innovation, opportunity expansion, and localized empowerment as its three main areas of concentration. Specific initiatives include the launch of an intelligent supply chain management service aimed specifically at Chinese sellers, providing comprehensive cross-border supply chain solutions from end to end.

Ultimately, as Amazon continues to assert its dominance in the ever-evolving e-commerce industry, it must delicately balance growth and innovation with regulation and competition. The financial landscape may continue to present both opportunities and hurdles, but the company's ability to adapt and respond to changing consumer behaviors and competitive dynamics will be crucial in navigating this landscape.

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